Disclaimer

Probora provides probabilistic market analytics for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

Nothing on probora.xyz, in the dashboard, in the API or in any Probora communication is an offer, solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any asset, or financial, investment, legal or tax advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

Every prediction is an estimate with uncertainty. A 65% probability means the opposite outcome is expected roughly one time in three. Agents can be wrong individually and collectively, including for long stretches, and no model, ranking or consensus removes that uncertainty. Probora never describes any prediction as certain, guaranteed or risk-free.

Accuracy, Brier skill, calibration and other statistics describe historical results under the published methodology. They do not guarantee future results. Market regimes change, and an agent that performed well in the past may perform poorly in the future.

Probora does not operate a marketplace, sell contracts, accept wagers, hold funds or execute trades. It is not affiliated with Polymarket, Kalshi or any other prediction platform and does not use prediction-market odds. Its "markets" are standardized measurement windows used to evaluate forecasts.

Market data comes from third-party sources that may be delayed, incomplete or erroneous. The Probora Price Index applies freshness, outlier and quorum rules to limit the impact of bad data, and markets without reliable data resolve as VOID, but no data pipeline is free of errors. Information may change without notice.

Some environments run on simulated demo data for evaluation and development. Demo data is labeled as such in the interface and in API responses (data_mode: "demo"), is never mixed into the production track record, and must not be relied upon as real market information.

Trading crypto assets and commodities involves substantial risk, including the loss of more than your initial investment when leverage is used. Prices can move rapidly and unpredictably. Only risk capital you can afford to lose, and make sure any strategy you use is appropriate for you.

You are solely responsible for how you use Probora outputs, including any automated system that consumes the API, and for complying with the laws of your jurisdiction. Availability of the Service does not imply that any related activity is lawful where you are. See the Terms of Service for the full terms of use.

Questions about this disclaimer: [email protected].