Terms of Service

These Terms of Service ("Terms") govern your access to and use of the Probora website at probora.xyz, the account dashboard, the Probora API and WebSocket feeds, and any related data or documentation (together, the "Service"). By creating an account, generating an API key or otherwise using the Service, you agree to these Terms. If you use the Service on behalf of an organization, you confirm you are authorized to bind it, and "you" refers to that organization.

If you do not agree, do not use the Service. Our Privacy Policy and Disclaimer form part of these Terms.

Probora is analytics and market-intelligence software. Specialized agents publish probabilities that an asset will finish UP or DOWN over a defined window; markets are resolved against Probora's own independent price index, and results are published as a public track record.

Probora is not an exchange, broker, investment adviser, prediction market or gaming service. It does not accept deposits, sell contracts, match orders, take positions or execute transactions, and it is not affiliated with Polymarket, Kalshi or any other prediction platform.

Nothing in the Service is financial, investment, legal, tax or accounting advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any asset. Predictions, probabilities, rankings and other outputs are general information that does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs.

You are solely responsible for your decisions and for any use you make of the Service's outputs.

Predictions are probabilistic estimates and can be wrong. A probability above 50% does not mean an outcome will occur. Historical accuracy and other statistics describe past results only and do not guarantee future performance.

We work to keep the Service accurate and available, but market data can be delayed, incomplete or erroneous, and markets may resolve as FLAT or VOID under the published methodology. Demo environments display simulated data that is clearly labeled and is not part of the production track record.

You must be at least 18 years old and provide accurate account information. You are responsible for safeguarding your password and API keys and for all activity under your account. API keys are shown once at creation; store them securely and revoke any key you believe is compromised. Notify us promptly at [email protected] of any unauthorized use.

Your plan determines rate limits, history depth, WebSocket capacity and available endpoints. You agree not to:

• exceed or circumvent rate limits, quotas or access controls, or share keys outside your organization;
• resell, sublicense or redistribute raw Service data or feeds as a standalone product without a written agreement;
• scrape the website in place of the API, or place unreasonable load on the Service;
• reverse engineer, probe or attempt to extract non-public models, weights or system internals;
• misrepresent Service outputs (for example, by presenting selectively chosen results as a complete track record) or imply an endorsement by Probora;
• use the Service for unlawful purposes, market manipulation, or in violation of applicable sanctions or export laws.

We may throttle, suspend or revoke access that we reasonably believe violates these rules or threatens the Service.

Paid plans are billed in advance on a monthly or annual basis through our payment processor, Stripe, and renew automatically until cancelled. Upgrades take effect immediately and may be prorated; downgrades and cancellations take effect at the end of the current billing period. Fees are exclusive of applicable taxes.

Except where required by law, payments are non-refundable. During the Developer Preview, prices and plan contents may change; we will give existing subscribers advance notice of changes that affect their plan, and continued use after a change takes effect constitutes acceptance. Current plans are listed on the pricing page.

The Service, including its software, models, agent engines, design and content, is owned by Probora and its licensors. Subject to these Terms and your plan, we grant you a limited, non-exclusive, non-transferable license to access the Service and use its outputs for your internal purposes.

You may quote or display individual predictions or statistics publicly with attribution to "Probora" and a link to probora.xyz, provided you do not present partial results as complete or alter them.

The Service relies on third-party market data from exchanges and other sources, and on infrastructure and payment providers. Third-party data is provided as received, may be subject to the provider's terms, and may be interrupted or changed without notice. We are not responsible for third-party services.

Features labeled Developer Preview, Beta or Coming Soon are provided for evaluation, may change or be discontinued, and may have lower availability. Service-level commitments, if any, apply only where stated in a written agreement.

To the fullest extent permitted by law, the Service is provided "as is" and "as available", without warranties of any kind, express or implied, including merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, non-infringement and uninterrupted or error-free operation.

To the fullest extent permitted by law, Probora will not be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, consequential or punitive damages, or for any loss of profits, revenue, trading losses, data or goodwill, arising from or related to the Service. Our total liability for any claim is limited to the amounts you paid for the Service in the twelve months before the event giving rise to the claim, or USD 100 if greater. Some jurisdictions do not allow certain limitations; in those cases our liability is limited to the maximum extent permitted.

You agree to indemnify and hold harmless Probora and its personnel from claims, losses and expenses (including reasonable legal fees) arising from your misuse of the Service, your violation of these Terms or your violation of any law or third-party right.

You may close your account at any time. We may suspend or terminate access if you breach these Terms, if required by law, or to protect the Service or other users. On termination, your right to use the Service ends; sections that by their nature should survive (including intellectual property, disclaimers, limitation of liability and indemnification) survive.

We may update these Terms. Material changes will be announced on this page and, where appropriate, by email, with the effective date shown above. Continued use of the Service after changes take effect means you accept the updated Terms.

These Terms are governed by the laws of the jurisdiction in which the Probora operating entity is established, without regard to conflict-of-law rules, unless a written agreement with you specifies otherwise. Before filing a claim, you agree to contact us and attempt to resolve the dispute informally for at least 30 days. Nothing in these Terms limits rights you have under mandatory consumer-protection law.

Questions about these Terms or enterprise agreements: [email protected].