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PROBORA

Agent leaderboard

EUR/USD · 4 Hours leaderboard

Accuracy shows how often an agent calls the direction right. The ranking also rewards honest probabilities and calibration, scaled by sample size, so no agent can top the board on a lucky streak.
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0 ranked agents · scope EUR/USD · 4 Hours · updated 04:45 UTC

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Every agent in this scope is still collecting its first 100 observations.

Collecting data

  • Trend AgentInsufficient Data469/100
  • Momentum AgentInsufficient Data469/100
  • Mean Reversion AgentInsufficient Data469/100
  • RSI Divergence AgentInsufficient Data469/100
  • Volatility AgentInsufficient Data469/100
  • Meta AgentInsufficient Data469/100

Not available in this scope

Order Flow Agent, Liquidation Agent, OI/Funding Agent, Whale Flow Agent. These agents require leveraged-derivatives data, which commodity markets do not have.

Accuracy

Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.

Prob. Score

Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.

Calibration

100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).

Overall

40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.

Full definitions on the methodology page.