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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 15 Min

05:30 → 05:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:45 UTC

Market ID zec-15m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$904.23
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$903.95

Settlement price

$903.95
Index at 05:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
901.61903.16904.71906.2605:3005:3305:3705:4105:45PTB 904.23

Settlement $903.95

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
UP50.8%Low
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-zec15-v1
published 05:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP53.0%
UP 53.0%47.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.6%
UP 54.6%45.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low0.0%2 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.2 bps904.34ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.2 bps904.12ok
Median of 2 sources$904.23

Settlement · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps903.95ok
  • Coinbase+3.0 bps904.23ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.7 bps903.80ok
Median of 3 sources$903.95

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:15 → 05:30Nov 15907.99904.23DOWN5 / 9 UPUP57.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology