Specialist agent · 09 / 09

Whale Flow Agent

Specializes in detecting significant activity from large market participants.

Specialty: Significant activity from large market participants.

Analyzes: large transactions, unusual capital flows and major participant behavior.

Accuracy (early sample)

59.1%

44 public results so far

Markets observed

26 wins · 18 losses

Prob. Score

+0.4%

Brier 0.2490 · log loss 0.691

Calibration

21.3

ECE 7.87 pt

Network rank

Overall score 4.6

Best assets

Collecting

Best timeframes

Model instances

50 publishing · 0 collecting · 0 not available

One learned instance per asset × timeframe.

Accuracy by market

Every asset × timeframe instance. Click a cell to open the live market.

Asset	5 Min	15 Min	1 Hour	4 Hours	1 Day
BTC	33.3%	100.0%	999/100	500/100	365/100
ETH	50.0%	100.0%	999/100	500/100	365/100
SOL	60.0%	100.0%	990/100	499/100	364/100
	60.0%	100.0%	994/100	499/100	363/100
	20.0%	0.0%	980/100	496/100	364/100
	60.0%	100.0%	996/100	500/100	365/100
	100.0%	100.0%	993/100	497/100	364/100
	996/100	997/100	999/100	500/100	333/100
	916/100	960/100	982/100	496/100	177/100
	946/100	973/100	990/100	498/100	146/100

50%66%+ accuracy collecting / not available

Performance over time

Weekly directional accuracy, all public markets

Calibration

Realized accuracy against stated probability

50–55%

55–60%

60–65%

65–70%

70–75%

75%+

Share of predictions per confidence bucket

Stated probability	Markets	Mean probability	Actual accuracy	Gap
50–55%	44	51.2%	59.1%	+7.9 pt
55–60%	0	—	—	—
60–65%	0	—	—	—
65–70%	0	—	—	—
70–75%	0	—	—	—
75%+	0	—	—	—

Instances

Ranked by overall score. Each row is a separately learned model.

Market	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Model version
BNB · 5 Min	5	100.0%	+6.1%	0.0	whaleflow-bnb5-v1
HYPE · 5 Min	5	60.0%	+1.8%	11.4	whaleflow-hype5-v1
SOL · 5 Min	5	60.0%	+1.1%	20.3	whaleflow-sol5-v1
XRP · 5 Min	5	60.0%	−1.7%	9.8	whaleflow-xrp5-v1
ETH · 5 Min	6	50.0%	+0.1%	86.7	whaleflow-eth5-v1
SOL · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+7.4%	0.0	whaleflow-sol15-v1
HYPE · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+6.6%	0.0	whaleflow-hype15-v1
ETH · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+3.4%	0.0	whaleflow-eth15-v1
XRP · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+2.6%	0.0	whaleflow-xrp15-v1
BNB · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+2.1%	0.0	whaleflow-bnb15-v1
BTC · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+0.3%	0.0	whaleflow-btc15-v1
BTC · 5 Min	6	33.3%	−1.5%	0.0	whaleflow-btc5-v1
DOGE · 5 Min	5	20.0%	−5.0%	0.0	whaleflow-doge5-v1
DOGE · 15 Min	1	0.0%	−7.3%	0.0	whaleflow-doge15-v1
BTC · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data999/100
BTC · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
BTC · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
ETH · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data999/100
ETH · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
ETH · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
SOL · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data990/100
SOL · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data499/100
SOL · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
XRP · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data994/100
XRP · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data499/100
XRP · 1 Day	Insufficient Data363/100
DOGE · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data980/100
DOGE · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data496/100
DOGE · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
HYPE · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data996/100
HYPE · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
HYPE · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
BNB · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data993/100
BNB · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data497/100
BNB · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
GOLD · 5 Min	Insufficient Data996/100
GOLD · 15 Min	Insufficient Data997/100
GOLD · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data999/100
GOLD · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
GOLD · 1 Day	Insufficient Data333/100
SILVER · 5 Min	Insufficient Data916/100
SILVER · 15 Min	Insufficient Data960/100
SILVER · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data982/100
SILVER · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data496/100
SILVER · 1 Day	Insufficient Data177/100
OIL · 5 Min	Insufficient Data946/100
OIL · 15 Min	Insufficient Data973/100
OIL · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data990/100
OIL · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data498/100
OIL · 1 Day	Insufficient Data146/100

Whale Flow Agent

Accuracy by market

Confidence buckets

Instances

Recent verified predictions