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PROBORA

BNB · 5 Min

BNB 5 Minute Prediction

Will BNB finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:10 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0310

Settles in

03:48

Price to beat

$596.20
Index at 03:10:00

Current index

$597.14
+0.94(0.158%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:15:00
596.47596.79597.1003:1003:1103:1203:1303:15PTB 596.20
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN72.4%High
UP 27.6%72.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
8 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 03:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:20 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

03:48

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN61.9%
UP 38.1%61.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN64.2%
UP 35.8%64.2% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN61.4%
UP 38.6%61.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low75.0%8 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%8 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low25.0%8 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low87.5%8 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps596.20ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.1 bps596.20ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps596.25ok
Median of 3 sources$596.20

Current index

03:11:09 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps597.14ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps597.15ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−4.4 bps596.88ok
Median of 3 sources$597.14

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:05 → 03:10Nov 15595.64596.20UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 15593.61595.64UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN70.8%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 15592.32593.61UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 15591.47592.32UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 15591.03591.47UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 15589.96591.03UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 15588.99589.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 15588.32588.99UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 15586.02588.32UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent87.5%8 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent75.0%8 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent0.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent0.0%8 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology