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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

03:00 → 03:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:00 → 03:05 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0300

Settled

Nov 15, 03:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$593.61
Index at 03:00:00

Final index

$595.64

Settlement price

$595.64
Index at 03:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
594.63595.92597.2103:0003:0103:0203:0303:05PTB 593.61

Settlement $595.64

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN70.8%High
UP 29.2%70.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
10.0%
10 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.9%
UP 39.1%60.9% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN65.0%
UP 35.0%65.0% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN61.0%
UP 39.0%61.0% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low70.0%10 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low90.0%10 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low30.0%10 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low80.0%10 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.3 bps593.62ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps593.55ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.61ok
Median of 3 sources$593.61

Settlement · 03:05:00 UTC

03:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.6 bps595.61ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+9.6 bps596.21ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps595.64ok
Median of 3 sources$595.64

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:55 → 03:00Nov 15592.32593.61UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.4%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 15591.47592.32UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 15591.03591.47UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 15589.96591.03UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 15588.99589.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 15588.32588.99UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 15586.02588.32UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent90.0%10 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent80.0%10 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent70.0%10 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent30.0%10 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent10.0%10 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent10.0%10 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology