Specialist agent · 08 / 09

OI/Funding Agent

Specializes in derivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment.

Specialty: Derivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment.

Analyzes: open-interest behavior, funding conditions, positioning changes and leverage imbalance.

Accuracy (early sample)

43.2%

44 public results so far

Markets observed

19 wins · 25 losses

Prob. Score

0.0%

Brier 0.2501 · log loss 0.693

Calibration

29.9

ECE 7.01 pt

Network rank

Overall score 1.1

Best assets

Collecting

Best timeframes

Model instances

35 publishing · 0 collecting · 15 not available

One learned instance per asset × timeframe.

Accuracy by market

Every asset × timeframe instance. Click a cell to open the live market.

Asset	5 Min	15 Min	1 Hour	4 Hours	1 Day
BTC	16.7%	0.0%	999/100	500/100	365/100
ETH	66.7%	100.0%	999/100	500/100	365/100
SOL	80.0%	100.0%	990/100	499/100	364/100
	20.0%	100.0%	994/100	499/100	363/100
	20.0%	0.0%	980/100	496/100	364/100
	40.0%	0.0%	996/100	500/100	365/100
	40.0%	100.0%	993/100	497/100	364/100
	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

50%66%+ accuracy collecting / not available

Performance over time

Weekly directional accuracy, all public markets

Calibration

Realized accuracy against stated probability

50–55%

55–60%

60–65%

65–70%

70–75%

75%+

Share of predictions per confidence bucket

Stated probability	Markets	Mean probability	Actual accuracy	Gap
50–55%	44	50.2%	43.2%	−7.0 pt
55–60%	0	—	—	—
60–65%	0	—	—	—
65–70%	0	—	—	—
70–75%	0	—	—	—
75%+	0	—	—	—

Instances

Ranked by overall score. Each row is a separately learned model.

Market	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Model version
ETH · 5 Min	6	66.7%	0.0%	0.0	oifunding-eth5-v1
SOL · 5 Min	5	80.0%	+1.1%	0.0	oifunding-sol5-v1
SOL · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+1.2%	0.0	oifunding-sol15-v1
XRP · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+0.2%	0.0	oifunding-xrp15-v1
ETH · 15 Min	1	100.0%	+0.2%	0.0	oifunding-eth15-v1
BNB · 15 Min	1	100.0%	0.0%	0.0	oifunding-bnb15-v1
BTC · 5 Min	6	16.7%	−0.5%	0.0	oifunding-btc5-v1
BTC · 15 Min	1	0.0%	−0.7%	0.0	oifunding-btc15-v1
XRP · 5 Min	5	20.0%	−0.1%	0.0	oifunding-xrp5-v1
DOGE · 5 Min	5	20.0%	−0.2%	0.0	oifunding-doge5-v1
DOGE · 15 Min	1	0.0%	−0.2%	0.0	oifunding-doge15-v1
HYPE · 5 Min	5	40.0%	−0.3%	0.0	oifunding-hype5-v1
HYPE · 15 Min	1	0.0%	−0.4%	0.0	oifunding-hype15-v1
BNB · 5 Min	5	40.0%	−0.3%	0.0	oifunding-bnb5-v1
BTC · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data999/100
BTC · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
BTC · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
ETH · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data999/100
ETH · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
ETH · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
SOL · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data990/100
SOL · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data499/100
SOL · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
XRP · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data994/100
XRP · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data499/100
XRP · 1 Day	Insufficient Data363/100
DOGE · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data980/100
DOGE · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data496/100
DOGE · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
HYPE · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data996/100
HYPE · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data500/100
HYPE · 1 Day	Insufficient Data365/100
BNB · 1 Hour	Insufficient Data993/100
BNB · 4 Hours	Insufficient Data497/100
BNB · 1 Day	Insufficient Data364/100
GOLD · 5 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
GOLD · 15 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
GOLD · 1 Hour	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
GOLD · 4 Hours	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
GOLD · 1 Day	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
SILVER · 5 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
SILVER · 15 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
SILVER · 1 Hour	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
SILVER · 4 Hours	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
SILVER · 1 Day	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
OIL · 5 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
OIL · 15 Min	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
OIL · 1 Hour	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
OIL · 4 Hours	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)
OIL · 1 Day	Not available (requires leveraged-derivatives data)

OI/Funding Agent

Accuracy by market

Confidence buckets

Instances

Recent verified predictions