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PROBORA

Dogecoin · 1 Hour

DOGE 1 Hour Prediction

Will DOGE finish UP or DOWN this 1 hour window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:00 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID doge-1h-20261115-0300

Settles in

47:56

Price to beat

$0.05856
Index at 03:00:00

Current index

$0.05907
+0.00051(0.871%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 04:00:00
0.058710.058880.0590503:0003:1503:3003:4504:00PTB 0.05856
DOWN51.6%Low
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
—
0 markets
Model version
meta-doge1h-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

04:00 → 05:00 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

47:56

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium—0 markets
Momentum AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium—0 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium—0 markets
RSI Divergence AgentUP55.4%
UP 55.4%44.6% DOWN
Medium—0 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low—0 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium—0 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low—0 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low—0 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low—0 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05856ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05856ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05856

Current index

03:12:01 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05905ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05907ok
  • Coinbase+4.2 bps0.05909ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05907

Recent resolved markets

The latest 1 Hour DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 1 Hour

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 1 Hour

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Dogecoin · 1 Hour windows

One-hour windows reflect intraday direction. Leverage stress, liquidation pressure and volatility regimes become more predictive as transient noise averages out.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: derivatives positioning, volatility regimes and trend structure.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology