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PROBORA

Dogecoin · 5 Min

DOGE 5 Minute Prediction

Will DOGE finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:10 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0310

Settles in

03:20

Price to beat

$0.05885
Index at 03:10:00

Current index

$0.05907
+0.00022(0.374%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:15:00
0.058920.059000.0590703:1003:1103:1203:1303:15PTB 0.05885
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN58.7%High
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
14.3%
7 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 03:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:20 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

03:20

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Medium71.4%7 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low42.9%7 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium57.1%7 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low57.1%7 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low14.3%7 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low28.6%7 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05885ok
  • Coinbase−1.7 bps0.05884ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05886ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05885

Current index

03:11:37 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.0 bps0.05907ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05907ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05907ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05907

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.058850.05885FLAT6 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%PUSH
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.058560.05885UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.058460.05856UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.058380.05846UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.058390.05838DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.058240.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.058140.05824UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.058130.05814UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.058010.05813UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent71.4%7 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent57.1%7 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent57.1%7 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent28.6%7 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent14.3%7 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology