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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:45 → 02:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 02:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 02:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05839
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$0.05838

Settlement price

$0.05838
Index at 02:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058300.058360.058410.0584702:4502:4602:4702:4802:50PTB 0.05839

Settlement $0.05838

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN59.6%Medium
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
12.5%
8 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium12.5%8 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium12.5%8 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium62.5%8 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN63.3%
UP 36.7%63.3% DOWN
Medium12.5%8 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low50.0%8 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%8 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low62.5%8 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low12.5%8 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low37.5%8 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05839ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05839ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05839ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05839

Settlement · 02:50:00 UTC

02:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05838ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05838ok
  • Coinbase+4.7 bps0.05841ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05838

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.058240.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.058140.05824UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.058130.05814UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.058010.05813UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent71.4%7 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent57.1%7 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent57.1%7 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent28.6%7 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent14.3%7 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology