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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:40 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:40 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0240

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05824
Index at 02:40:00

Final index

$0.05839

Settlement price

$0.05839
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058150.058340.0584302:4002:4102:4202:4302:45PTB 0.05824

Settlement $0.05839

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.0%Medium
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
14.3%
7 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 02:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium71.4%7 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium14.3%7 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Low42.9%7 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Medium57.1%7 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low57.1%7 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low14.3%7 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low28.6%7 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:40:00 UTC

02:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05824ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps0.05824ok
  • Coinbase+9.6 bps0.05830ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05824

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05839ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05839ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05839ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05839

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.058140.05824UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.058130.05814UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.058010.05813UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent71.4%7 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent57.1%7 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent57.1%7 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent42.9%7 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent28.6%7 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent14.3%7 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology