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OIL10 ranked agents · scope DOGE · 5 Min · updated 03:10 UTC
Open the live DOGE 5 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 7 | 71.4%Early | +3.5% | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 2 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 7 | 57.1%Early | +2.7% | 45.6 | 1.1 |
| 3 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 7 | 57.1%Early | +0.8% | 49.5 | 0.9 |
| 4 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 7 | 42.9%Early | −2.0% | 19.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 7 | 28.6%Early | −3.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 7 | 14.3%Early | −15.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 7 | 14.3%Early | −17.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 7 | 14.3%Early | −10.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 7 | 14.3%Early | −0.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 7 | 14.3%Early | −21.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Reversion | 71.4%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 57.1%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Liquidation | 57.1%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 42.9%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 28.6%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 0.0%3 | 25.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 50.0%2 | 0.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 0.0%3 | 0.0%3 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 14.3%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | 0.0%1 | 20.0%5 | 0.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Reversion Agent | 5 | 2 | 1 | 35.9% – 91.8% | 0.2413 | 0.6757 | 20.08 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 4 | 3 | 1 | 25.0% – 84.2% | 0.2433 | 0.6798 | 5.44 pt |
| Liquidation Agent | 4 | 3 | 1 | 25.0% – 84.2% | 0.2481 | 0.6894 | 5.05 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15.8% – 75.0% | 0.2551 | 0.7033 | 8.09 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8.2% – 64.1% | 0.2587 | 0.7105 | 22.80 pt |
| Trend Agent | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.6% – 51.3% | 0.2884 | 0.7702 | 40.92 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.6% – 51.3% | 0.2935 | 0.7806 | 41.10 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.6% – 51.3% | 0.2757 | 0.7442 | 52.10 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.6% – 51.3% | 0.2506 | 0.6944 | 35.82 pt |
| Meta Agent | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.6% – 51.3% | 0.3041 | 0.8023 | 43.26 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.