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OIL10 ranked agents · scope HYPE · 5 Min · updated 03:10 UTC
Open the live HYPE 5 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 8 | 75.0%Early | +3.9% | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| 2 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 8 | 75.0%Early | +2.8% | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 3 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 8 | 37.5%Early | +0.9% | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 4 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 8 | 25.0%Early | −24.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 8 | 25.0%Early | −12.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 8 | 25.0%Early | −12.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 8 | 25.0%Early | −8.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 8 | 25.0%Early | −18.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 8 | 25.0%Early | −0.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 8 | 25.0%Early | −41.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation | 75.0%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 75.0%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 37.5%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | —0 | 0.0%4 | 50.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 25.0%4 | 25.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | 0.0%1 | 28.6%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 28.6%7 | 0.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 0.0%2 | 66.7%3 | 0.0%3 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 25.0%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | —0 | —0 | 25.0%4 | 33.3%3 | 0.0%1 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation Agent | 6 | 2 | 0 | 40.9% – 92.9% | 0.2402 | 0.6736 | 22.89 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 6 | 2 | 0 | 40.9% – 92.9% | 0.2431 | 0.6794 | 24.00 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13.7% – 69.4% | 0.2478 | 0.6888 | 13.28 pt |
| Trend Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.3111 | 0.8178 | 36.00 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.2813 | 0.7563 | 29.97 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.2815 | 0.7565 | 31.66 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.2723 | 0.7379 | 29.25 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.2964 | 0.7876 | 40.00 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.2510 | 0.6952 | 25.27 pt |
| Meta Agent | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.1% – 59.1% | 0.3535 | 0.9097 | 40.44 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.