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PROBORA

Hyperliquid · 5 Min

HYPE 5 Minute Prediction

Will HYPE finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:10 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0310

Settles in

03:46

Price to beat

$66.218
Index at 03:10:00

Current index

$66.413
+0.195(0.294%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:15:00
66.17766.25666.33666.41503:1003:1103:1203:1303:15PTB 66.218
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN67.5%High
UP 32.5%67.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
25.0%
8 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 03:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:20 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

03:46

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 markets
Order Flow AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Low75.0%8 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low75.0%8 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low25.0%8 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low37.5%8 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.4 bps66.209ok
  • Hyperliquid+1.4 bps66.228ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.218ok
Median of 3 sources$66.218

Current index

03:11:11 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+4.1 bps66.440ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.413ok
  • Hyperliquid−10.9 bps66.341ok
Median of 3 sources$66.413

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1566.05966.096UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1565.79566.059UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1565.97065.795DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.5%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent75.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent75.0%8 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent37.5%8 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent25.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent25.0%8 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology