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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:45 → 02:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 02:50 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 02:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.970
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$65.795

Settlement price

$65.795
Index at 02:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.70065.80065.89965.99902:4502:4602:4702:4802:50PTB 65.970

Settlement $65.795

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN68.5%High
UP 31.5%68.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
25.0%
8 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN62.6%
UP 37.4%62.6% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Low75.0%8 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN59.8%
UP 40.2%59.8% DOWN
Medium25.0%8 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low75.0%8 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low25.0%8 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low37.5%8 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.8 bps65.995ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.970ok
  • Hyperliquid−0.2 bps65.969ok
Median of 3 sources$65.970

Settlement · 02:50:00 UTC

02:50:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps65.798ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.795ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.9 bps65.776ok
Median of 3 sources$65.795

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent75.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent75.0%8 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent37.5%8 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent25.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent25.0%8 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology