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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:25 → 02:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:25 → 02:30 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0225

Settled

Nov 15, 02:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.760
Index at 02:25:00

Final index

$65.799

Settlement price

$65.799
Index at 02:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.49165.63465.91902:2502:2602:2702:2802:30PTB 65.760

Settlement $65.799

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

No prediction was published for this window.

Base consensus

No prediction was published for this window.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Momentum AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Mean Reversion AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
RSI Divergence AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Order Flow AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Volatility AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Liquidation AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
OI/Funding AgentNo prediction was published for this window.
Whale Flow AgentNo prediction was published for this window.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:25:00 UTC

02:25:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps65.753ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.3 bps65.768ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps65.760ok
Median of 3 sources$65.760

Settlement · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.6 bps65.816ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.799ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.4 bps65.770ok
Median of 3 sources$65.799

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent80.0%10 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent80.0%10 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent40.0%10 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent20.0%10 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent20.0%10 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent20.0%10 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology