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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:35 → 02:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:35 → 02:40 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0235

Settled

Nov 15, 02:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.880
Index at 02:35:00

Final index

$66.171

Settlement price

$66.171
Index at 02:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.04566.20466.36402:3502:3602:3702:3802:40PTB 65.880

Settlement $66.171

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN61.9%High
UP 38.1%61.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
20.0%
10 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 02:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN63.6%
UP 36.4%63.6% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low80.0%10 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low80.0%10 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low20.0%10 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low40.0%10 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:35:00 UTC

02:35:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.5 bps65.896ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−1.0 bps65.873ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps65.880ok
Median of 3 sources$65.880

Settlement · 02:40:00 UTC

02:40:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps66.172ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.171ok
  • Hyperliquid−1.6 bps66.160ok
Median of 3 sources$66.171

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent80.0%10 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent80.0%10 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent40.0%10 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent20.0%10 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent20.0%10 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent20.0%10 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology