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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

02:50 → 02:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:50 → 02:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0250

Settled

Nov 15, 02:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.795
Index at 02:50:00

Final index

$66.059

Settlement price

$66.059
Index at 02:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.73965.86065.98266.10302:5002:5102:5202:5302:55PTB 65.795

Settlement $66.059

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN66.0%High
UP 34.0%66.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
22.2%
9 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 02:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.9%
UP 42.1%57.9% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low77.8%9 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN60.1%
UP 39.9%60.1% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low77.8%9 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low22.2%9 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low33.3%9 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:50:00 UTC

02:50:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.5 bps65.798ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.795ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.9 bps65.776ok
Median of 3 sources$65.795

Settlement · 02:55:00 UTC

02:55:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.059ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−2.3 bps66.044ok
  • Hyperliquid+0.6 bps66.063ok
Median of 3 sources$66.059

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1565.97065.795DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.5%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent75.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent75.0%8 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent37.5%8 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent25.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent25.0%8 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology