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OIL10 ranked agents · scope SOL · 5 Min · updated 03:10 UTC
Open the live SOL 5 Min market →| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 8 | 87.5%Early | +6.0% | 0.0 | 1.9 |
| 2 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 9 | 88.9%Early | +2.8% | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| 3 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 8 | 75.0%Early | +1.5% | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 4 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 8 | 87.5%Early | +1.5% | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 5 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 8 | 62.5%Early | −0.2% | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 6 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 9 | 44.4%Early | 0.0% | 40.1 | 0.3 |
| 7 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 9 | 22.2%Early | −2.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 9 | 22.2%Early | −4.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 8 | 12.5%Early | −3.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 9 | 11.1%Early | −6.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation | 87.5%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 88.9%9 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 75.0%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 87.5%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 62.5%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | 44.4%9 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 22.2%9 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 22.2%9 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | 12.5%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 11.1%9 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation Agent | 7 | 1 | 0 | 52.9% – 97.8% | 0.2349 | 0.6629 | 35.41 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 8 | 1 | 0 | 56.5% – 98.0% | 0.2430 | 0.6791 | 37.76 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 6 | 2 | 0 | 40.9% – 92.9% | 0.2462 | 0.6855 | 23.70 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 7 | 1 | 0 | 52.9% – 97.8% | 0.2463 | 0.6857 | 37.01 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 5 | 3 | 0 | 30.6% – 86.3% | 0.2505 | 0.6941 | 10.81 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 4 | 5 | 0 | 18.9% – 73.3% | 0.2500 | 0.6931 | 5.99 pt |
| Trend Agent | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6.3% – 54.7% | 0.2557 | 0.7045 | 28.87 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6.3% – 54.7% | 0.2602 | 0.7136 | 29.00 pt |
| Meta Agent | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.2% – 47.1% | 0.2597 | 0.7125 | 38.52 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.0% – 43.5% | 0.2652 | 0.7235 | 40.69 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.