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PROBORA

Solana · 5 Min

SOL 5 Minute Prediction

Will SOL finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live02:55 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0255

Settles in

01:04

Price to beat

$71.11
Index at 02:55:00

Current index

$71.29
+0.18(0.253%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:00:00
71.1771.2571.3202:5502:5602:5702:5803:00PTB 71.11
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN50.5%Low
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
20.0%
5 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 02:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:00 → 03:05 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

01:04

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Medium33.3%6 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium16.7%6 markets
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium33.3%6 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium33.3%6 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low100.0%6 markets
Volatility AgentUP52.0%
UP 52.0%48.0% DOWN
Medium80.0%5 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low80.0%5 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low80.0%5 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Low60.0%5 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:55:00 UTC

02:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.11ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.10ok
  • Coinbase+0.5 bps71.11ok
Median of 3 sources$71.11

Current index

02:58:55 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.3 bps71.29ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps71.29ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps71.29ok
Median of 3 sources$71.29

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1571.0571.11UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.1%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1571.0971.05DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.3%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1570.9071.09UP5 / 9 UPDOWN51.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1570.6570.90UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1570.5870.65UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1570.5370.58UP3 / 5 UPInsufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent100.0%6 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent80.0%5 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent80.0%5 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent80.0%5 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent60.0%5 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent33.3%6 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology