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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

02:30 → 02:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:30 → 02:35 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0230

Settled

Nov 15, 02:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$70.58
Index at 02:30:00

Final index

$70.65

Settlement price

$70.65
Index at 02:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
70.5070.6270.7370.8502:3002:3102:3202:3302:35PTB 70.58

Settlement $70.65

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.7%Low
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
12.5%
8 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 02:30:05 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium44.4%9 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP53.4%
UP 53.4%46.6% DOWN
Low88.9%9 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium75.0%8 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low87.5%8 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low87.5%8 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low62.5%8 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps70.58ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps70.58ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps70.58ok
Median of 3 sources$70.58

Settlement · 02:35:00 UTC

02:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.5 bps70.62ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps70.65ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps70.65ok
Median of 3 sources$70.65

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1570.5370.58UP3 / 5 UPInsufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent87.5%8 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent88.9%9 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent75.0%8 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent87.5%8 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent62.5%8 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent44.4%9 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology