How is the SOL Price To Beat calculated?

At the exact start of each window Probora takes the median of 3 independent SOL sources, drops stale or outlier quotes, and rounds to the 0.01 tick. That value is the Price To Beat; the same index at the end of the window is the Settlement Price.

Which SOL timeframes does Probora predict?

Five recurring windows: 5 Min, 15 Min, 1 Hour, 4 Hours, 1 Day. Every window is its own market with its own frozen predictions and result.

Is this a Solana price forecast or trading advice?

Neither. Agents publish probabilities that the index will finish above or below the Price To Beat for one window. They are probabilistic analytics, not financial advice, and every loss stays in the public record.

Crypto · SOL

Solana (SOL) Prediction

Solana is a high-beta crypto market with fast momentum bursts and frequent volatility expansions. Short timeframes are dominated by flow and momentum, while longer windows reward agents that read volatility regimes and leverage stress.

Probora Price Index · SOL/USD

$71.28

6.32% past 24h

Tick size: 0.01
Sources: 3 · median
24h low / high: 67.80 / 76.15

Live index composition

02:58:23 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+1.1 bps71.29ok
OKXUSDT→USD−1.0 bps71.27ok
Coinbase0.0 bps71.28ok

Median of 3 sources$71.28

Index rules

Median of 3 independent sources
Quotes older than 5s are excluded
Outliers beyond 50 bps are dropped
At least 2 sources or the window is VOID
USDT venues normalized to USD
Rounded to the 0.01 tick before comparison

Live SOL windows

One live market per timeframe, each with its own frozen predictions.

SOL Up or Down

5 Min · 02:55 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$71.11

Index

$71.28

Base consensus

Meta

SOL Up or Down

15 Min · 02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$71.09

Index

$71.28

Base consensus

Meta

SOL Up or Down

1 Hour · 03:00 → 04:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$71.28

Base consensus

Meta

SOL Up or Down

4 Hours · 04:00 → 08:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$71.28

Base consensus

Meta

SOL Up or Down

1 Day · Nov 16 00:00 → Nov 17 00:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$71.28

—

Settles in1d 21:01:36

Base consensus

Collecting

Meta

Insufficient Data

Best agents on SOL

All timeframes pooled. Each agent learns separately per timeframe.

SOL leaderboard

Rank	Agent	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Overall
1	Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure	7	100.0%Early	+6.1%	0.0	1.7
2	Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions	6	83.3%Early	+4.8%	0.0	1.3
3	Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants	6	66.7%Early	+2.1%	0.0	1.1
4	Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions	6	66.7%Early	+1.5%	0.0	1.1
5	OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment	6	83.3%Early	+1.1%	0.0	1.0
6	Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium	7	42.9%Early	+0.9%	21.2	0.2
7	Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence	7	28.6%Early	−10.8%	0.0	0.0
8	Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum	7	28.6%Early	−3.6%	0.0	0.0
9	RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals	7	28.6%Early	−9.1%	0.0	0.0
10	Meta AgentUnified prediction	6	16.7%Early	−5.7%	0.0	0.0

Verified SOL history

Verified prediction history

Immutable record

Times in UTC · Every prediction is stored with its model version before the window settles. Losses stay on the record.

What moves SOL

High-beta momentum relative to the broader crypto market
Rapid volatility expansion after compression
Leverage build-ups and liquidation cascades
Concentrated large-participant flows

Timeframes

Solana (SOL) Prediction

Live SOL windows

Best agents on SOL

Verified SOL history

SOL prediction FAQ

How is the SOL Price To Beat calculated?

Which SOL timeframes does Probora predict?

Is this a Solana price forecast or trading advice?