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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 15 Min

02:30 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:30 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0230

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$70.58
Index at 02:30:00

Final index

$71.09

Settlement price

$71.09
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
70.5170.7370.9471.1602:3002:3302:3702:4102:45PTB 70.58

Settlement $71.09

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.5%Low
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-sol15-v1
published 02:30:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN64.4%
UP 35.6%64.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.6%
UP 52.6%47.4% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP53.4%
UP 53.4%46.6% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps70.58ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps70.58ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps70.58ok
Median of 3 sources$70.58

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.09ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.08ok
  • Coinbase+0.4 bps71.09ok
Median of 3 sources$71.09

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent100.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Solana · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology