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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 15 Min

02:45 → 03:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 03:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$71.09
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$71.30

Settlement price

$71.30
Index at 03:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
70.9571.2671.4102:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 71.09

Settlement $71.30

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.4%Low
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-sol15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.1%
UP 54.1%45.9% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.7%
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.09ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.08ok
  • Coinbase+0.4 bps71.09ok
Median of 3 sources$71.09

Settlement · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.3 bps71.30ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps71.30ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps71.30ok
Median of 3 sources$71.30

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1570.5871.09UP6 / 9 UPDOWN53.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent100.0%2 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent100.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Solana · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology