Solana · 15 Min

SOL 15 Minute Prediction

Will SOL finish UP or DOWN this 15 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

Live03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0300

Settles in

11:00

Price to beat

$71.30

Index at 03:00:00

Current index

$71.78

+0.48(0.673%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 03:15:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

UP50.4%Low

UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 0.0%; 2 markets
Model version: meta-sol15-v1; published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:30 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

11:00

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	DOWN57.3%	UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN	Medium	0.0%2 markets	trend-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Momentum Agent	UP52.7%	UP 52.7%47.3% DOWN	Medium	100.0%2 markets	momentum-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	UP56.5%	UP 56.5%43.5% DOWN	Medium	100.0%2 markets	meanrev-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN54.3%	UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN	Medium	0.0%2 markets	rsidiv-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Order Flow Agent	UP50.3%	UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	orderflow-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN50.8%	UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN	Medium	0.0%2 markets	volatility-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	100.0%2 markets	liquidation-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	UP50.7%	UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN	Low	100.0%2 markets	oifunding-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	UP50.1%	UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN	Low	50.0%2 markets	whaleflow-sol15-v103:00:09 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.3 bps71.30ok
Coinbase0.0 bps71.30ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps71.30ok

Median of 3 sources$71.30

Current index

03:03:57 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.78ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.7 bps71.78ok
Coinbase−1.4 bps71.77ok

Median of 3 sources$71.78

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
02:45 → 03:00Nov 15	71.09	71.30	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN51.4%	LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15	70.58	71.09	UP	6 / 9 UP	DOWN53.5%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min

View all →

1Mean Reversion Agent100.0%2 mkts
2Liquidation Agent100.0%2 mkts
3Momentum Agent100.0%2 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent100.0%2 mkts
5Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
6Whale Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Solana · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology