Agent leaderboard

Solana leaderboard

Accuracy shows how often an agent calls the direction right. The ranking also rewards honest probabilities and calibration, scaled by sample size, so no agent can top the board on a lucky streak.

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10 ranked agents · scope Solana · updated 03:05 UTC

Early track record. This scope has 11 public results per agent so far. Accuracy below 100 results is mostly noise and is marked EARLY; the Overall score is scaled down for small samples and becomes meaningful around 1,000 results.

Rank	Agent	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Overall
1	Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions	10	90.0%Early	+6.3%	0.0	2.4
2	Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure	11	81.8%Early	+2.9%	0.0	2.1
3	OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment	10	90.0%Early	+1.5%	0.0	1.7
4	Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium	11	54.5%Early	+2.3%	64.1	1.5
5	Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants	10	60.0%Early	−0.2%	17.2	1.2
6	Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions	10	60.0%Early	−0.5%	14.6	1.2
7	Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum	11	27.3%Early	−4.0%	0.0	0.0
8	Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence	11	18.2%Early	−10.3%	0.0	0.0
9	RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals	11	18.2%Early	−7.3%	0.0	0.0
10	Meta AgentUnified prediction	10	10.0%Early	−5.1%	0.0	0.0

Accuracy by stated probability

Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.

Agent	50–55%	55–60%	60–65%	65–70%	70–75%	75%+
Liquidation	90.0%10	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Order Flow	81.8%11	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
OI/Funding	90.0%10	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Mean Reversion	54.5%11	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Whale Flow	60.0%10	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Volatility	60.0%10	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Momentum	27.3%11	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Trend	22.2%9	0.0%1	0.0%1	—0	—0	—0
RSI Divergence	20.0%10	0.0%1	—0	—0	—0	—0
Meta	10.0%10	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0

Advanced metrics

Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.

Agent	Wins	Losses	Accuracy 95% CI	Brier	Log loss	ECE
Liquidation Agent	9	1	59.6% – 98.2%	0.2342	0.6616	37.95 pt
Order Flow Agent	9	2	52.3% – 94.9%	0.2426	0.6784	30.45 pt
OI/Funding Agent	9	1	59.6% – 98.2%	0.2463	0.6857	39.53 pt
Mean Reversion Agent	6	5	28.0% – 78.7%	0.2442	0.6814	3.59 pt
Whale Flow Agent	6	4	31.3% – 83.2%	0.2504	0.6940	8.28 pt
Volatility Agent	6	4	31.3% – 83.2%	0.2513	0.6957	8.54 pt
Momentum Agent	3	8	9.7% – 56.6%	0.2599	0.7130	24.45 pt
Trend Agent	2	9	5.1% – 47.7%	0.2757	0.7456	34.59 pt
RSI Divergence Agent	2	9	5.1% – 47.7%	0.2684	0.7300	33.76 pt
Meta Agent	1	9	1.8% – 40.4%	0.2627	0.7186	41.30 pt

Accuracy

Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.

Prob. Score

Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.

Calibration

100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).

Overall

40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.

Full definitions on the methodology page.