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OIL10 ranked agents · scope XRP · updated 03:10 UTC
| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 10 | 100.0%Early | +8.0% | 0.0 | 2.6 |
| 2 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 10 | 60.0%Early | +1.0% | 12.6 | 1.3 |
| 3 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 10 | 60.0%Early | −1.6% | 10.6 | 1.1 |
| 4 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 10 | 30.0%Early | −0.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 10 | 10.0%Early | −8.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 10 | 10.0%Early | −18.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 10 | 10.0%Early | −33.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 10 | 0.0%Early | −25.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 10 | 0.0%Early | −13.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 10 | 0.0%Early | −10.7% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation | 100.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 60.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 60.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 30.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | 10.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 0.0%3 | 0.0%5 | 0.0%1 | 100.0%1 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | 0.0%2 | 25.0%4 | 0.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 0.0%3 | 0.0%7 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 0.0%8 | 0.0%2 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 0.0%9 | 0.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation Agent | 10 | 0 | 0 | 72.2% – 100.0% | 0.2299 | 0.6530 | 47.95 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 6 | 4 | 0 | 31.3% – 83.2% | 0.2475 | 0.6881 | 8.74 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 6 | 4 | 0 | 31.3% – 83.2% | 0.2541 | 0.7013 | 8.94 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10.8% – 60.3% | 0.2504 | 0.6939 | 20.07 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.8% – 40.4% | 0.2717 | 0.7365 | 42.43 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.8% – 40.4% | 0.2951 | 0.7835 | 53.88 pt |
| Meta Agent | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.8% – 40.4% | 0.3332 | 0.8625 | 48.48 pt |
| Trend Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.3128 | 0.8196 | 55.91 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.2841 | 0.7615 | 53.26 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.2767 | 0.7467 | 52.57 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.