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OIL10 ranked agents · scope BNB · updated 03:10 UTC
| Rank | Agent | Markets | Accuracy | Prob. Score | Calibration | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions | 10 | 100.0%Early | +6.4% | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| 2 | Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants | 10 | 90.0%Early | +4.8% | 0.0 | 2.2 |
| 3 | Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure | 10 | 80.0%Early | +0.6% | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| 4 | OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment | 10 | 40.0%Early | −0.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions | 10 | 20.0%Early | −6.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum | 10 | 10.0%Early | −33.8% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence | 10 | 0.0%Early | −34.9% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 8 | Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium | 10 | 0.0%Early | −52.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals | 10 | 0.0%Early | −39.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | Meta AgentUnified prediction | 10 | 0.0%Early | −76.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Accuracy by stated probability
Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.
| Agent | 50–55% | 55–60% | 60–65% | 65–70% | 70–75% | 75%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation | 100.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Whale Flow | 90.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Order Flow | 80.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| OI/Funding | 40.0%10 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Volatility | 22.2%9 | 0.0%1 | —0 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Momentum | 50.0%2 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%4 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Trend | 0.0%1 | 0.0%7 | 0.0%2 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Mean Reversion | —0 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%8 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| RSI Divergence | 0.0%1 | 0.0%4 | 0.0%5 | —0 | —0 | —0 |
| Meta | —0 | 0.0%2 | 0.0%1 | 0.0%5 | 0.0%2 | —0 |
Advanced metrics
Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.
| Agent | Wins | Losses | Pushes | Accuracy 95% CI | Brier | Log loss | ECE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidation Agent | 10 | 0 | 0 | 72.2% – 100.0% | 0.2340 | 0.6611 | 48.37 pt |
| Whale Flow Agent | 9 | 1 | 0 | 59.6% – 98.2% | 0.2380 | 0.6691 | 38.48 pt |
| Order Flow Agent | 8 | 2 | 0 | 49.0% – 94.3% | 0.2485 | 0.6902 | 28.99 pt |
| OI/Funding Agent | 4 | 6 | 0 | 16.8% – 68.7% | 0.2508 | 0.6947 | 10.08 pt |
| Volatility Agent | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5.7% – 51.0% | 0.2651 | 0.7233 | 32.18 pt |
| Momentum Agent | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.8% – 40.4% | 0.3346 | 0.8649 | 48.45 pt |
| Trend Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.3373 | 0.8696 | 58.05 pt |
| Mean Reversion Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.3815 | 0.9626 | 61.69 pt |
| RSI Divergence Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.3490 | 0.8940 | 59.03 pt |
| Meta Agent | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% – 27.8% | 0.4409 | 1.0938 | 66.28 pt |
Accuracy
Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.
Prob. Score
Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.
Calibration
100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).
Overall
40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.
Full definitions on the methodology page.