Agent leaderboard

BNB · 15 Min leaderboard

Accuracy shows how often an agent calls the direction right. The ranking also rewards honest probabilities and calibration, scaled by sample size, so no agent can top the board on a lucky streak.

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10 ranked agents · scope BNB · 15 Min · updated 03:10 UTC

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Early track record. This scope has 2 public results per agent so far. Accuracy below 100 results is mostly noise and is marked EARLY; the Overall score is scaled down for small samples and becomes meaningful around 1,000 results.

Rank	Agent	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Overall
1	Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions	2	100.0%Early	+7.5%	0.0	0.5
2	Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions	2	100.0%Early	+7.2%	0.0	0.5
3	Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants	2	100.0%Early	+5.1%	0.0	0.5
4	Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure	2	100.0%Early	+2.5%	0.0	0.4
5	OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment	2	100.0%Early	0.0%	0.0	0.3
6	Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum	2	50.0%Early	+4.9%	73.2	0.3
7	Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence	2	0.0%Early	−48.6%	0.0	0.0
8	Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium	2	0.0%Early	−27.2%	0.0	0.0
9	RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals	2	0.0%Early	−35.1%	0.0	0.0
10	Meta AgentUnified prediction	2	0.0%Early	−41.2%	0.0	0.0

Accuracy by stated probability

Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.

Agent	50–55%	55–60%	60–65%	65–70%	70–75%	75%+
Liquidation	100.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Volatility	100.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Whale Flow	100.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Order Flow	100.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
OI/Funding	100.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Momentum	50.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Trend	—0	—0	0.0%2	—0	—0	—0
Mean Reversion	—0	0.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0
RSI Divergence	—0	0.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0
Meta	—0	0.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0

Advanced metrics

Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.

Agent	Wins	Losses	Accuracy 95% CI	Brier	Log loss	ECE
Liquidation Agent	2	0	34.2% – 100.0%	0.2313	0.6558	48.10 pt
Volatility Agent	2	0	34.2% – 100.0%	0.2319	0.6569	48.15 pt
Whale Flow Agent	2	0	34.2% – 100.0%	0.2372	0.6674	48.69 pt
Order Flow Agent	2	0	34.2% – 100.0%	0.2438	0.6807	49.37 pt
OI/Funding Agent	2	0	34.2% – 100.0%	0.2499	0.6929	49.99 pt
Momentum Agent	1	1	9.5% – 90.5%	0.2377	0.6686	2.68 pt
Trend Agent	0	2	0.0% – 65.8%	0.3714	0.9402	60.95 pt
Mean Reversion Agent	0	2	0.0% – 65.8%	0.3180	0.8300	56.39 pt
RSI Divergence Agent	0	2	0.0% – 65.8%	0.3378	0.8704	58.12 pt
Meta Agent	0	2	0.0% – 65.8%	0.3530	0.9017	59.41 pt

Accuracy

Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.

Prob. Score

Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.

Calibration

100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).

Overall

40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.

Full definitions on the methodology page.