Agent leaderboard

15 Min · all assets leaderboard

Accuracy shows how often an agent calls the direction right. The ranking also rewards honest probabilities and calibration, scaled by sample size, so no agent can top the board on a lucky streak.

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All timeframes 5 Min 15 Min 1 Hour 4 Hours 1 Day

10 ranked agents · scope 15 Min · all assets · updated 03:10 UTC

Early track record. This scope has 14 public results per agent so far. Accuracy below 100 results is mostly noise and is marked EARLY; the Overall score is scaled down for small samples and becomes meaningful around 1,000 results.

Rank	Agent	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Overall
1	Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions	14	100.0%Early	+7.4%	0.0	3.5
2	Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure	14	71.4%Early	+3.7%	0.0	2.8
3	Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants	14	78.6%Early	+1.7%	0.0	2.4
4	OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment	14	50.0%Early	0.0%	98.3	1.3
5	Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum	14	42.9%Early	−3.2%	0.0	0.0
6	Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions	14	35.7%Early	−5.6%	0.0	0.0
7	Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium	14	28.6%Early	−12.9%	0.0	0.0
8	Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence	14	0.0%Early	−38.4%	0.0	0.0
9	RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals	14	0.0%Early	−27.5%	0.0	0.0
10	Meta AgentUnified prediction	14	0.0%Early	−31.4%	0.0	0.0

Accuracy by stated probability

Realized accuracy in each confidence bucket. A well-calibrated agent wins about as often as it says it will.

Agent	50–55%	55–60%	60–65%	65–70%	70–75%	75%+
Liquidation	100.0%14	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Order Flow	71.4%14	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Whale Flow	78.6%14	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
OI/Funding	50.0%14	—0	—0	—0	—0	—0
Momentum	41.7%12	50.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0
Volatility	41.7%12	0.0%2	—0	—0	—0	—0
Mean Reversion	40.0%10	0.0%3	0.0%1	—0	—0	—0
Trend	0.0%3	0.0%4	0.0%6	0.0%1	—0	—0
RSI Divergence	0.0%7	0.0%6	—0	—0	0.0%1	—0
Meta	0.0%8	0.0%3	0.0%1	0.0%1	0.0%1	—0

Advanced metrics

Every number behind the ranking, for this scope.

Agent	Wins	Losses	Accuracy 95% CI	Brier	Log loss	ECE
Liquidation Agent	14	0	78.5% – 100.0%	0.2316	0.6562	48.12 pt
Order Flow Agent	10	4	45.4% – 88.3%	0.2408	0.6747	19.95 pt
Whale Flow Agent	11	3	52.4% – 92.4%	0.2458	0.6847	27.44 pt
OI/Funding Agent	7	7	26.8% – 73.2%	0.2499	0.6929	0.17 pt
Momentum Agent	6	8	21.4% – 67.4%	0.2580	0.7093	10.23 pt
Volatility Agent	5	9	16.3% – 61.2%	0.2640	0.7213	17.01 pt
Mean Reversion Agent	4	10	11.7% – 54.6%	0.2823	0.7583	25.93 pt
Trend Agent	0	14	0.0% – 21.5%	0.3460	0.8897	58.63 pt
RSI Divergence Agent	0	14	0.0% – 21.5%	0.3188	0.8346	56.23 pt
Meta Agent	0	14	0.0% – 21.5%	0.3284	0.8559	56.93 pt

Accuracy

Share of scored predictions whose direction matched the outcome. FLAT and VOID windows are kept on record but excluded.

Prob. Score

Brier skill versus an uninformed 50/50 forecast. Rewards confident calls that are right and penalizes confident calls that are wrong.

Calibration

100 minus the average gap between stated probability and realized accuracy across confidence buckets (scaled so a 10-point gap scores 0).

Overall

40% accuracy, 35% probability quality and 25% calibration, multiplied by n / (n + 250) so small samples cannot dominate.

Full definitions on the methodology page.