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PROBORA

BNB · 15 Min

BNB 15 Minute Prediction

Will BNB finish UP or DOWN this 15 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID bnb-15m-20261115-0245

Settles in

00:50

Price to beat

$591.03
Index at 02:45:00

Current index

$593.71
+2.68(0.453%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:00:00
590.62591.73592.83593.9402:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 591.03
DOWN59.3%Medium
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
1 markets
Model version
meta-bnb15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

00:50

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN60.7%
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%1 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low100.0%1 markets
Volatility AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Medium100.0%1 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%1 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low100.0%1 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low100.0%1 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps591.11ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.03ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps590.98ok
Median of 3 sources$591.03

Current index

02:59:09 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps593.71ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps593.62ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.1 bps593.72ok
Median of 3 sources$593.71

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15588.32591.03UP6 / 9 UPDOWN59.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent100.0%1 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%1 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent100.0%1 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent100.0%1 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts

About this market

BNB · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology