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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:05 → 03:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:05 → 03:10 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0305

Settled

Nov 15, 03:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05885
Index at 03:05:00

Final index

$0.05885

Settlement price

$0.05885
Index at 03:10:00

Outcome

FLAT
Immutable record
0.058760.058810.0589003:0503:0603:0703:0803:10PTB 0.05885

Settlement $0.05885

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsPUSH
UP50.5%Low
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
11.1%
9 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 03:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsPUSH
Momentum AgentUP54.3%
UP 54.3%45.7% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsPUSH
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Medium55.6%9 marketsPUSH
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsPUSH
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low55.6%9 marketsPUSH
Volatility AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium55.6%9 marketsPUSH
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low66.7%9 marketsPUSH
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low11.1%9 marketsPUSH
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Low33.3%9 marketsPUSH

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:05:00 UTC

03:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.05884ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.5 bps0.05886ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05885ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05885

Settlement · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05885ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05886ok
  • Coinbase−1.7 bps0.05884ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05885

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.058560.05885UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.058460.05856UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.058380.05846UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.058390.05838DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.058240.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.058140.05824UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.058130.05814UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.058010.05813UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent66.7%9 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent55.6%9 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent55.6%9 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent55.6%9 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent33.3%9 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent11.1%9 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology