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PROBORA

Ethereum · 5 Min

ETH 5 Minute Prediction

Will ETH finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:10 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID eth-5m-20261115-0310

Settles in

04:20

Price to beat

$1,823.93
Index at 03:10:00

Current index

$1,825.38
+1.45(0.079%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:15:00
1,823.551,824.221,824.881,825.5503:1003:1103:1203:1303:15PTB 1,823.93
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN64.4%High
UP 35.6%64.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
22.2%
9 markets
Model version
meta-eth5-v1
published 03:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:20 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

04:20

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium44.4%9 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.6%
UP 40.4%59.6% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium22.2%9 markets
Order Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low44.4%9 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium55.6%9 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low77.8%9 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low66.7%9 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low44.4%9 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ETH: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps1,823.93ok
  • Coinbase+0.8 bps1,824.07ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps1,823.87ok
Median of 3 sources$1,823.93

Current index

03:10:37 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.2 bps1,825.35ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps1,825.38ok
  • Coinbase+2.1 bps1,825.76ok
Median of 3 sources$1,825.38

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ETH windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:05 → 03:10Nov 151,823.651,823.93UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 151,815.031,823.65UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.1%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 151,813.071,815.03UP5 / 9 UPDOWN59.1%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 151,810.061,813.07UP5 / 9 UPDOWN56.5%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 151,810.471,810.06DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.6%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 151,808.301,810.47UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 151,801.911,808.30UP5 / 9 UPDOWN61.3%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 151,802.861,801.91DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%WIN
02:25 → 02:30Nov 151,792.661,802.86UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ETH · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ETH 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent77.8%9 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent66.7%9 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent55.6%9 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent44.4%9 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent44.4%9 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent44.4%9 mkts

About this market

Ethereum · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology