How is the ETH Price To Beat calculated?

At the exact start of each window Probora takes the median of 3 independent ETH sources, drops stale or outlier quotes, and rounds to the 0.01 tick. That value is the Price To Beat; the same index at the end of the window is the Settlement Price.

Which ETH timeframes does Probora predict?

Five recurring windows: 5 Min, 15 Min, 1 Hour, 4 Hours, 1 Day. Every window is its own market with its own frozen predictions and result.

Is this a Ethereum price forecast or trading advice?

Neither. Agents publish probabilities that the index will finish above or below the Price To Beat for one window. They are probabilistic analytics, not financial advice, and every loss stays in the public record.

Crypto · ETH

Ethereum (ETH) Prediction

Ethereum combines a large spot market with an active derivatives complex. Its intraday direction frequently follows Bitcoin while diverging during network-specific catalysts, which gives relative-strength and divergence agents a distinct edge profile here.

Probora Price Index · ETH/USD

$1,814.74

4.95% past 24h

Tick size: 0.01
Sources: 3 · median
24h low / high: 1,725.10 / 1,911.58

Live index composition

02:58:21 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps1,814.60ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps1,814.74ok
Coinbase+0.2 bps1,814.77ok

Median of 3 sources$1,814.74

Index rules

Median of 3 independent sources
Quotes older than 5s are excluded
Outliers beyond 50 bps are dropped
At least 2 sources or the window is VOID
USDT venues normalized to USD
Rounded to the 0.01 tick before comparison

Live ETH windows

One live market per timeframe, each with its own frozen predictions.

ETH Up or Down

5 Min · 02:55 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$1,813.07

Index

$1,814.74

Base consensus

Meta

ETH Up or Down

15 Min · 02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$1,810.47

Index

$1,814.74

Base consensus

Meta

ETH Up or Down

1 Hour · 03:00 → 04:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$1,814.74

Base consensus

Meta

ETH Up or Down

4 Hours · 04:00 → 08:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$1,814.74

Base consensus

Meta

ETH Up or Down

1 Day · Nov 16 00:00 → Nov 17 00:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$1,814.74

—

Settles in1d 21:01:38

Base consensus

Collecting

Meta

Insufficient Data

Best agents on ETH

All timeframes pooled. Each agent learns separately per timeframe.

ETH leaderboard

Rank	Agent	Markets	Accuracy	Prob. Score	Calibration	Overall
1	Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions	7	71.4%Early	+3.0%	0.0	1.4
2	Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions	7	71.4%Early	+2.0%	0.0	1.3
3	OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment	7	71.4%Early	+0.1%	0.0	1.1
4	Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum	7	57.1%Early	−0.1%	52.6	0.9
5	Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants	7	57.1%Early	+0.6%	41.2	0.9
6	Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure	7	57.1%Early	+0.1%	47.2	0.8
7	Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence	7	28.6%Early	−20.5%	0.0	0.0
8	Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium	7	28.6%Early	−18.3%	0.0	0.0
9	RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals	7	28.6%Early	−11.1%	0.0	0.0
10	Meta AgentUnified prediction	7	28.6%Early	−21.5%	0.0	0.0

Verified ETH history

Verified prediction history

Immutable record

Times in UTC · Every prediction is stored with its model version before the window settles. Losses stay on the record.

What moves ETH

Correlation and divergence versus Bitcoin
Derivatives leverage and funding dislocations
On-chain and exchange flows from large holders
Momentum persistence during trending sessions

Timeframes

Ethereum (ETH) Prediction

Live ETH windows

Best agents on ETH

Verified ETH history

ETH prediction FAQ

How is the ETH Price To Beat calculated?

Which ETH timeframes does Probora predict?

Is this a Ethereum price forecast or trading advice?