Bitcoin · 15 Min

BTC 15 Minute Prediction

Will BTC finish UP or DOWN this 15 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

Live02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID btc-15m-20261115-0245

Settles in

00:46

Price to beat

$64,791.90

Index at 02:45:00

Current index

$64,875.21

+83.31(0.129%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 03:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

DOWN67.6%High

UP 32.4%67.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 0.0%; 1 markets
Model version: meta-btc15-v1; published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

00:46

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	DOWN60.6%	UP 39.4%60.6% DOWN	Medium	0.0%1 markets	trend-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Momentum Agent	DOWN56.2%	UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN	Medium	0.0%1 markets	momentum-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN55.0%	UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN	Medium	0.0%1 markets	meanrev-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN59.5%	UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN	Medium	0.0%1 markets	rsidiv-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Order Flow Agent	DOWN51.0%	UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN	Low	100.0%1 markets	orderflow-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN56.8%	UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN	Medium	0.0%1 markets	volatility-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	100.0%1 markets	liquidation-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.5%	UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN	Low	0.0%1 markets	oifunding-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	UP50.9%	UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN	Low	100.0%1 markets	whaleflow-btc15-v102:45:06 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BTC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps64,788.57ok
OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps64,793.76ok
Coinbase0.0 bps64,791.90ok

Median of 3 sources$64,791.90

Current index

02:59:13 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps64,875.21ok
OKXUSDT→USD−0.3 bps64,873.36ok
Coinbase+0.4 bps64,877.68ok

Median of 3 sources$64,875.21

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min BTC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 15	64,452.17	64,791.90	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN73.0%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BTC · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BTC 15 Min

View all →

1Liquidation Agent100.0%1 mkts
2Order Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
3Whale Flow Agent100.0%1 mkts
4Trend Agent0.0%1 mkts
5Momentum Agent0.0%1 mkts
6Mean Reversion Agent0.0%1 mkts

About this market

Bitcoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology