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PROBORA

Crypto · BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) Prediction

Bitcoin is the deepest and most liquid crypto market, traded around the clock across spot venues and perpetual futures. Its short-horizon direction is shaped by spot order flow, derivatives positioning and macro risk appetite. That makes it the reference market for every Probora agent family.

Probora Price Index · BTC/USD

$64,860.96

4.01% past 24h

Tick size
0.01
Sources
3 · median
24h low / high
62,513.10 / 67,619.30

Live index composition

02:58:45 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.1 bps64,840.97ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps64,860.96ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps64,862.72ok
Median of 3 sources$64,860.96

Index rules

  • Median of 3 independent sources
  • Quotes older than 5s are excluded
  • Outliers beyond 50 bps are dropped
  • At least 2 sources or the window is VOID
  • USDT venues normalized to USD
  • Rounded to the 0.01 tick before comparison

Live BTC windows

One live market per timeframe, each with its own frozen predictions.

BTC Up or Down

5 Min · 02:55 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$64,781.22

Index

$64,860.96

+79.74
Settles in01:14

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

Meta

DOWN55.2%

BTC Up or Down

15 Min · 02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Live

Price to beat

$64,791.90

Index

$64,860.96

+69.06
Settles in01:14

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

Meta

DOWN67.6%

BTC Up or Down

1 Hour · 03:00 → 04:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$64,860.96

—
Settles in1:01:14

Base consensus

Collecting

Meta

Insufficient Data

BTC Up or Down

4 Hours · 04:00 → 08:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$64,860.96

—
Settles in5:01:14

Base consensus

Collecting

Meta

Insufficient Data

BTC Up or Down

1 Day · Nov 16 00:00 → Nov 17 00:00 UTC

Upcoming

Price to beat

—

Index

$64,860.96

—
Settles in1d 21:01:14

Base consensus

Collecting

Meta

Insufficient Data

Best agents on BTC

All timeframes pooled. Each agent learns separately per timeframe.

BTC leaderboard
RankAgentMarketsAccuracyOverall
1Liquidation AgentLeveraged-market liquidation pressure and squeeze conditions785.7%Early1.6
2Order Flow AgentReal-time buying and selling pressure771.4%Early1.1
3Volatility AgentVolatility regimes and expansion or contraction conditions757.1%Early0.5
4Whale Flow AgentSignificant activity from large market participants742.9%Early0.2
5RSI Divergence AgentMomentum divergence and potential directional reversals728.6%Early0.0
6Trend AgentDirectional market structure and trend persistence714.3%Early0.0
7Momentum AgentStrengthening or weakening price momentum714.3%Early0.0
8Mean Reversion AgentStretched markets likely to revert toward equilibrium714.3%Early0.0
9OI/Funding AgentDerivatives positioning and leveraged market sentiment714.3%Early0.0
10Meta AgentUnified prediction714.3%Early0.0

Verified BTC history

Verified prediction history

Immutable record

Times in UTC · Every prediction is stored with its model version before the window settles. Losses stay on the record.

What moves BTC

  • Spot order-book imbalance and aggressive taker flow on major venues
  • Perpetual funding, open-interest build-up and liquidation clusters
  • Macro risk sentiment, ETF flows and US session liquidity
  • Volatility regime shifts around compression breakouts

Timeframes

BTC prediction FAQ

More in the methodology.