Bitcoin · 1 Hour

BTC 1 Hour Prediction

Will BTC finish UP or DOWN this 1 hour window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

Live03:00 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID btc-1h-20261115-0300

Settles in

48:14

Price to beat

$64,873.66

Index at 03:00:00

Current index

$65,425.58

+551.92(0.851%)

Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 04:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

DOWN56.2%Medium

UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN

Historical accuracy: —; 0 markets
Model version: meta-btc1h-v1; published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

04:00 → 05:00 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

48:14

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	UP50.1%	UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	trend-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Momentum Agent	DOWN54.3%	UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	momentum-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Mean Reversion Agent	UP57.7%	UP 57.7%42.3% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	meanrev-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN56.3%	UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	rsidiv-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Order Flow Agent	DOWN53.3%	UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	orderflow-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Volatility Agent	DOWN50.5%	UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN	Medium	—0 markets	volatility-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Liquidation Agent	UP52.2%	UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	liquidation-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.3%	UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	oifunding-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC
Whale Flow Agent	UP50.5%	UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN	Low	—0 markets	whaleflow-btc1h-v103:00:09 UTC

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BTC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps64,877.16ok
Coinbase−1.7 bps64,862.78ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps64,873.66ok

Median of 3 sources$64,873.66

Current index

03:11:43 UTC

BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps65,428.58ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65,425.58ok
Coinbase−1.2 bps65,417.51ok

Median of 3 sources$65,425.58

Recent resolved markets

The latest 1 Hour BTC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BTC · 1 Hour

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BTC 1 Hour

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Bitcoin · 1 Hour windows

One-hour windows reflect intraday direction. Leverage stress, liquidation pressure and volatility regimes become more predictive as transient noise averages out.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: derivatives positioning, volatility regimes and trend structure.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology