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PROBORA

XRP · 5 Min

XRP 5 Minute Prediction

Will XRP finish UP or DOWN this 5 min window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.
Live03:10 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0310

Settles in

02:22

Price to beat

$0.9584
Index at 03:10:00

Current index

$0.9625
+0.0041(0.428%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:15:00
0.96000.96130.962703:1003:1103:1203:1303:15PTB 0.9584
DOWN64.7%High
UP 35.3%64.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
12.5%
8 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 03:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

03:15 → 03:20 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

02:22

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium12.5%8 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.6%
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Medium12.5%8 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low50.0%8 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%8 markets
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low25.0%8 markets
Whale Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low50.0%8 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:10:00 UTC

03:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9584ok
  • Coinbase+3.3 bps0.9587ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9581ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9584

Current index

03:12:37 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9624ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9625ok
  • Coinbase+2.8 bps0.9628ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9625

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.95630.9584UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.7%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.95390.9563UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.95260.9539UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.95100.9526UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.1%WIN
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.95060.9510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.6%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.94720.9506UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.94520.9472UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.94420.9452UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.94280.9442UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.0%8 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent50.0%8 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent12.5%8 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent12.5%8 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology