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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

02:40 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:40 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0240

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9472
Index at 02:40:00

Final index

$0.9506

Settlement price

$0.9506
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94640.94780.94910.950502:4002:4102:4202:4302:45PTB 0.9472

Settlement $0.9506

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN62.2%High
UP 37.8%62.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
11.1%
9 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 02:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%9 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%9 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium11.1%9 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low44.4%9 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%9 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low100.0%9 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low22.2%9 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low55.6%9 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:40:00 UTC

02:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.3 bps0.9469ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.9472ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9472ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9472

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9505ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9506ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.9508ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9506

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.94520.9472UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.94420.9452UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.94280.9442UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%9 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent55.6%9 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent44.4%9 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent22.2%9 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent11.1%9 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent11.1%9 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology