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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

03:00 → 03:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:00 → 03:05 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0300

Settled

Nov 15, 03:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9539
Index at 03:00:00

Final index

$0.9563

Settlement price

$0.9563
Index at 03:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.95610.95900.961903:0003:0103:0203:0303:05PTB 0.9539

Settlement $0.9563

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.7%High
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
10.0%
10 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium0.0%10 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%10 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium10.0%10 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low40.0%10 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%10 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%10 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low20.0%10 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Low50.0%10 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9538ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9539ok
  • Coinbase+2.4 bps0.9541ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9539

Settlement · 03:05:00 UTC

03:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.7 bps0.9560ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9563ok
  • Coinbase+5.0 bps0.9568ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9563

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.95260.9539UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.95100.9526UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.1%WIN
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.95060.9510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.6%LOSS
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.94720.9506UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.94520.9472UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.94420.9452UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.94280.9442UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%10 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.0%10 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent40.0%10 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent20.0%10 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent10.0%10 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent10.0%10 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology