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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

02:45 → 02:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 02:50 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 02:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$591.03
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$591.47

Settlement price

$591.47
Index at 02:50:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
590.48591.53592.0602:4502:4602:4702:4802:50PTB 591.03

Settlement $591.47

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN64.7%High
UP 35.3%64.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
8 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN63.6%
UP 36.4%63.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low75.0%8 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium0.0%8 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%8 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low25.0%8 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low87.5%8 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.3 bps591.11ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.03ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps590.98ok
Median of 3 sources$591.03

Settlement · 02:50:00 UTC

02:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps591.47ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.8 bps591.69ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.1 bps591.46ok
Median of 3 sources$591.47

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:40 → 02:45Nov 15589.96591.03UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.2%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 15588.99589.96UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.7%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 15588.32588.99UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 15586.02588.32UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent100.0%8 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent87.5%8 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent75.0%8 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent25.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent0.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent0.0%8 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology