Crude Oil · 4 Hours

OIL 4 Hour Prediction

Will OIL finish UP or DOWN this 4 hours window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

The crude oil market is closed right now.

No window opens while the underlying market is closed. Below is the most recent window, exactly as it settled.

Next window opens Nov 16, 00:00 UTC

20:47:52

Upcoming00:00 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID oil-4h-20261116-0000

Opens in

20:47:52

Price to beat

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Index at 00:00:00

Current index

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Settlement price

—

Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending

Resolves at 04:00:00

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

Publishes when the window opens.

Base consensus

Publishes when the window opens.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

00:00 → 04:00 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

20:47:52

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 00:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published
Trend Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Momentum Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Mean Reversion Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
RSI Divergence Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Order Flow Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Volatility Agent	Publishes when the window opens.
Liquidation Agent	Not available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
OI/Funding Agent	Not available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
Whale Flow Agent	Publishes when the window opens.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for OIL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 00:00:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Current index

Available when the window opens.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 4 Hours OIL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on OIL · 4 Hours

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · OIL 4 Hours

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Crude Oil · 4 Hour windows

Four-hour windows measure session-level direction. Market structure, trend persistence and stretched conditions that revert toward equilibrium play a larger role.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: trend persistence, mean reversion and large-participant flows.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology