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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

05:40 → 05:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:40 → 05:45 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0540

Settled

Nov 15, 05:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$904.44
Index at 05:40:00

Final index

$903.95

Settlement price

$903.95
Index at 05:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
904.04904.81905.57906.3405:4005:4105:4205:4305:45PTB 904.44

Settlement $903.95

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.5%Low
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
10 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 05:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium60.0%10 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%10 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Medium20.0%10 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium70.0%10 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low70.0%10 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium70.0%10 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low60.0%10 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low70.0%10 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low60.0%10 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:40:00 UTC

05:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.3 bps904.23ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps904.47ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps904.44ok
Median of 3 sources$904.44

Settlement · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps903.95ok
  • Coinbase+3.0 bps904.23ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.7 bps903.80ok
Median of 3 sources$903.95

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:35 → 05:40Nov 15903.24904.44UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 15904.23903.24DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.1%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 15909.38904.23DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 15910.61909.38DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.4%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 15907.99910.61UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent70.0%10 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent70.0%10 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent70.0%10 mkts
  4. 4Liquidation Agent60.0%10 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent70.0%10 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent60.0%10 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology