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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

08:00 → 08:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:00 → 08:05 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0800

Settled

Nov 15, 08:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$893.25
Index at 08:00:00

Final index

$893.73

Settlement price

$893.73
Index at 08:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
890.60891.88894.4308:0008:0108:0208:0308:05PTB 893.25

Settlement $893.73

DOWN54.5%Medium
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.2%
56 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 08:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%56 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium51.8%56 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium48.2%56 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium57.1%56 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low44.6%56 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium48.2%56 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low46.4%56 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%56 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low50.0%56 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:00:00 UTC

08:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps893.25ok
  • Coinbase−0.7 bps893.18ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps893.25ok
Median of 3 sources$893.25

Settlement · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.0 bps893.81ok
  • Coinbase−4.0 bps893.37ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps893.73ok
Median of 3 sources$893.73

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:55 → 08:00Nov 15891.89893.25UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 15891.39891.89UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.6%WIN
07:45 → 07:50Nov 15891.92891.39DOWN6 / 9 UPUP60.5%LOSS
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15897.35891.92DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.2%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15897.83897.35DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15898.80897.83DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15897.43898.80UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.6%LOSS
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15897.09897.43UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%LOSS
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15895.61897.09UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.7%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15898.38895.61DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15894.44898.38UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15896.10894.44DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1OI/Funding Agent50.0%56 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent50.0%56 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent57.1%56 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.0%56 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent51.8%56 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent48.2%56 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology