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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

15:40 → 15:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled15:40 → 15:45 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-1540

Settled

Nov 15, 15:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$891.79
Index at 15:40:00

Final index

$889.75

Settlement price

$889.75
Index at 15:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
888.54889.60890.6515:4015:4115:4215:4315:45PTB 891.79

Settlement $889.75

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN60.4%High
UP 39.6%60.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
55.6%
216 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 15:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 15:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium57.4%216 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium56.0%216 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Medium56.0%216 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium58.3%216 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low48.6%216 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium52.3%216 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low43.5%216 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%216 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low50.9%216 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 15:40:00 UTC

15:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps891.79ok
  • Coinbase+2.6 bps892.02ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.0 bps891.44ok
Median of 3 sources$891.79

Settlement · 15:45:00 UTC

15:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps889.83ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps889.75ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.8 bps889.32ok
Median of 3 sources$889.75

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
15:35 → 15:40Nov 15894.34891.79DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP54.2%LOSS
15:30 → 15:35Nov 15891.53894.34UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.8%LOSS
15:25 → 15:30Nov 15891.68891.53DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.1%WIN
15:20 → 15:25Nov 15893.23891.68DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.4%WIN
15:15 → 15:20Nov 15889.30893.23UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS
15:10 → 15:15Nov 15889.58889.30DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%WIN
15:05 → 15:10Nov 15887.61889.58UP5 / 9 UPUP52.8%WIN
15:00 → 15:05Nov 15889.12887.61DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.4%WIN
14:55 → 15:00Nov 15890.54889.12DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
14:50 → 14:55Nov 15887.60890.54UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%LOSS
14:45 → 14:50Nov 15883.23887.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%LOSS
14:40 → 14:45Nov 15882.71883.23UP5 / 9 UPUP59.9%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Trend Agent57.4%216 mkts
  2. 2Mean Reversion Agent56.0%216 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent56.0%216 mkts
  4. 4Meta Agent55.6%216 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent58.3%216 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent52.3%216 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology