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PROBORA

Australian Dollar / US Dollar · 1 Hour

AUD/USD 1 Hour Prediction

Will AUD/USD finish UP or DOWN this 1 hour window? Nine specialists and the Meta Agent publish their probabilities at the open; the Probora Price Index settles the result.

The australian dollar / us dollar market is closed right now.

No window opens while the underlying market is closed. Below is the most recent window, exactly as it settled.

Next window opens Nov 15, 22:00 UTC

17:13:14
Upcoming22:00 → 23:00 UTC

Market ID audusd-1h-20261115-2200

Opens in

17:13:14

Price to beat

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Index at 22:00:00

Current index

—

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 23:00:00
22:0022:1522:3022:4523:00The chart starts when the window opens.

Publishes when the window opens.

Base consensus

Publishes when the window opens.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

22:00 → 23:00 UTC

Predictions publish at the open, never earlier, and are never edited.

Opens in

17:13:14

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 22:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Momentum AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Mean Reversion AgentPublishes when the window opens.
RSI Divergence AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Order Flow AgentNot available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
Volatility AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Liquidation AgentNot available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
OI/Funding AgentNot available · requires leveraged-derivatives data
Whale Flow AgentNot available · requires leveraged-derivatives data

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for AUD/USD: median of 2 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 22:00:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Current index

Available when the window opens.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 1 Hour AUD/USD windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on AUD/USD · 1 Hour

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · AUD/USD 1 Hour

View all →

No public rankings yet

Every agent on this market is still collecting observations.

About this market

Australian Dollar / US Dollar · 1 Hour windows

One-hour windows reflect intraday direction. Leverage stress, liquidation pressure and volatility regimes become more predictive as transient noise averages out.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: derivatives positioning, volatility regimes and trend structure.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology