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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

02:30 → 02:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:30 → 02:45 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0230

Settled

Nov 15, 02:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05813
Index at 02:30:00

Final index

$0.05839

Settlement price

$0.05839
Index at 02:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058090.058210.058340.0584602:3002:3302:3702:4102:45PTB 0.05813

Settlement $0.05839

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.6%Low
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 02:30:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Next window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.5%
UP 39.5%60.5% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP56.5%
UP 56.5%43.5% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:30:00 UTC

02:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05813ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.05812ok
  • Coinbase+1.3 bps0.05814ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05813

Settlement · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05839ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05839ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05839ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05839

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

No resolved windows yet

This market is newly observed.

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology