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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

02:45 → 03:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled02:45 → 03:00 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0245

Settled

Nov 15, 03:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05839
Index at 02:45:00

Final index

$0.05856

Settlement price

$0.05856
Index at 03:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058270.058520.0586502:4502:4802:5202:5603:00PTB 0.05839

Settlement $0.05856

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.9%Low
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
2 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 02:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 02:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Medium100.0%2 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%2 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%2 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low0.0%2 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Low50.0%2 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 02:45:00 UTC

02:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.7 bps0.05839ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.1 bps0.05839ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05839ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05839

Settlement · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05856ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05856ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05856

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.058130.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent100.0%2 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%2 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%2 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent50.0%2 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent50.0%2 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology