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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 15 Min

03:00 → 03:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:00 → 03:15 UTC

Market ID doge-15m-20261115-0300

Settled

Nov 15, 03:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05856
Index at 03:00:00

Final index

$0.05893

Settlement price

$0.05893
Index at 03:15:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.058720.058890.0590503:0003:0303:0703:1103:15PTB 0.05856

Settlement $0.05893

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.7%Medium
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
0.0%
3 markets
Model version
meta-doge15-v1
published 03:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium66.7%3 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low66.7%3 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium33.3%3 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low0.0%3 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low33.3%3 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:00:00 UTC

03:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.4 bps0.05856ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.4 bps0.05856ok
Median of 2 sources$0.05856

Settlement · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05894ok
  • Coinbase−2.5 bps0.05892ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05893ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05893

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.058390.05856UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.058130.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.6%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent66.7%3 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent33.3%3 mkts
  5. 5Volatility Agent33.3%3 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent33.3%3 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology